Fed Rate Hike आज रात : Rally या Crash? | Iran War, Crude Oil & Nifty 23,000 #nifty #bulltrack
The US Federal Reserve is set to raise interest rates for the first time since 2023, and this could mark the start of a new global rate-hike cycle. Will the market rally, or is a bigger fall coming? In this video, we decode the Fed decision, the latest Iran war and crude oil update, and what Nifty's data and charts are signalling.Crude oil is stuck between $110 and $115 as the Iran war escalates. Drone strikes have shut Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline, the main route that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz, and oil loadings at Yanbu port on the Red Sea have been suspended. Only 4 ships crossed Hormuz on Monday, compared with more than 100 a day before the war, and the IEA now expects Gulf supply recovery to slip to 2027.
On the Fed, markets are pricing a 92% chance of a 25 bps hike. The real trigger is the dot plot: one more hike this year could spark a relief rally, while signals of two or three more hikes could drag global markets lower. The US 10-year yield is at 5.04%, its highest level since 2007.
We also cover the rally and crash scenarios, the Iran–Oman talks, S&P 500 earnings from mid-October, the rupee near 96, Nifty's put-call ratio, open interest, FII index shorts, and why 23,000 is the key support level for Nifty this week.
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⏱️ TIMESTAMPS
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00:00 Fed set for its first rate hike since 2023
00:47 Iran war update: crude oil and Saudi pipeline shutdown
01:45 Yanbu loadings suspended: what it means
02:29 Strait of Hormuz traffic: 4 ships vs 100+ pre-war
03:01 IEA: Gulf supply recovery slips to 2027
03:30 Fed decision tonight: 92% hike probability
04:21 Why the Fed dot plot matters most
05:28 US 10-year bond yield at 5.04%
05:56 BullTrack Stock X-Ray
06:54 When can the market rally?
08:48 When can the market fall sharply?
09:51 Summary: what's priced in
10:42 Nifty data: PCR, open interest, FII shorts
13:25 Nifty chart analysis and 23,000 support
14:42 Trading strategy for this week
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. This video is for educational and informational purposes only and does NOT constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation. All data is from publicly available, named sources and has been independently verified.
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