2008 जैसा Crash फिर से? Jio Listing से पहले बड़ा Signal | Crude $117 & Nifty Alert #bulltrack
Is the Jio IPO a repeat of the 2008 Reliance Power IPO that came right before a major market crash? We compare both mega IPOs on timing, valuation, demand and business quality, and decode the exit plan behind the Jio listing that nobody is talking about.In January 2008, Reliance Power's IPO was oversubscribed about 73 times on retail euphoria. The Sensex fell roughly 20% between the announcement and the listing, the stock closed its debut below the issue price, and the Lehman crisis followed. In 2026, Jio Platforms comes to market with a ₹30,213 crore fresh issue, a profitable business and an institution-led order book, but into a weak market, a rising interest rate cycle and a crude oil shock.
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📌 In this video:
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• Reliance Power 2008 vs Jio Platforms 2026: what is similar and what is very different
• Retail frenzy then vs institution-driven demand now
• Did the IPO timing in 2008 signal a market top, and does Jio's lower valuation say something today?
• Jio's journey: the 2019 listing promise, the 2020 global funding round, and the repeated delays
• Why the IPO switched from an offer for sale to a fresh issue
• Why global investors want an exit, and how a post-listing tariff hike could set it up
• The unusually large positions reported in Reliance shares and why volatility is likely
• Will the market crash after the Jio IPO? Our view
• Crude oil update: Brent near $117, Houthi attacks on Saudi Aramco, and US strike risk on Iran
• Next week's calendar, India VIX and the Nifty outlook
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⏱️ TIMESTAMPS
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0:00 Intro – Reliance Power 2008 vs Jio IPO 2026
0:34 The Reliance Power IPO story and retail euphoria
2:05 Sensex fell ~20% from announcement to listing
3:07 Is the same pattern repeating with Jio?
4:32 Key differences: sentiment and market highs
4:53 Lehman crisis and IPO timing – did bankers know?
6:09 Business comparison: Reliance Power vs Jio
6:35 Demand: retail frenzy vs institutional book
7:41 Valuations and the IPO pipeline, then vs now
7:59 Reliance Power's listing day – the lesson
8:47 Jio's background: free data, 2019 promise, 2020 funding
11:05 Why the IPO kept getting delayed
12:07 The U-turn: offer for sale to fresh issue
13:07 Why global investors want an exit
14:09 The exit setup: tariff hikes after listing
15:46 Large positions in Reliance – volatility ahead
16:38 Will the market crash after the Jio IPO?
17:17 Crude oil update: Brent near $117
19:16 Next week: allotment, refunds, listing, central banks
20:34 India VIX and Nifty outlook
21:50 Closing thoughts
Key dates this week:
Oct 26 – Jio IPO allotment
Oct 27 – Refunds and share credit
Oct 28 – Jio listing; results from HUL, Adani group, Hyundai Motor India, Hero MotoCorp; US Fed decision
Oct 29 – ECB rate decision
Oct 30 – Bank of Japan decision
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. This video is for educational and informational purposes only and does NOT constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation. All data is from publicly available, named sources and has been independently verified.
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