跨越修昔底德陷阱
2026年5月14日,特朗普访华,中方领导人时隔九年再次当面提出"修昔底德陷阱"之问。几乎所有的西方媒体,都把这句话翻译成了"中国承认危险存在"。但这恰恰是最大的一种误解。中方领导人用这个词,不是在承认陷阱的存在——而是在质疑它的前提。
本期视频回到修昔底德原典,逐层拆解:Allison的修昔底德陷阱在方法论上有什么致命缺陷?修昔底德本人的《伯罗奔尼撒战争史》真正想说的是什么?为什么西方读出了"不可避免的冲突",而中国人读出了"可以超越的陷阱"?
我们会聊到三国演义、孙子兵法、孟子、道德经——你会发现,中国人对"大国关系"的理解,和结构决定论根本不在一个频道上。
引用来源与参考文献:
- 新华网,《习近平同美国总统特朗普举行会谈》,2026年5月14日
- Graham Allison, Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?, 2017
- The Straits Times / SCMP / ABC News / BBC News 中文,2026年5月14日报道
- 修昔底德,《伯罗奔尼撒战争史》,公元前5世纪
- 孙武,《孙子兵法·谋攻篇》
- 孟轲,《孟子·公孙丑下》
- 老子,《道德经》第六十章
- 观察者网,2026年5月14日 Receive SMS online on sms24.me
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