This Is the NATO Nation Russia Will Attack First.
Serious analysis for a dangerous world: https://fronts.coRussia’s next target isn’t Ukraine—it’s a NATO member. Discover why Estonia stands first in Putin’s sights, how “little green men” could strike again, and whether NATO would really fight back.
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00:00 Introduction
01:36 The Target
12:18 Options for Ingress
24:17 Estonia?
References
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/02/13/russia-declares-estonian-pm-kaja-kallas-wanted_6520816_4.html
https://www.chathamhouse.org/publications/the-world-today/2025-06/narva-next-putins-sights
https://carnegieendowment.org/europe/strategic-europe/2025/09/taking-the-pulse-should-nato-have-shot-down-russian-planes-violating-estonian-airspace?lang=en
https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2025/05/24/the-russia-estonia-standoff-tensions-escalate-in-the-baltic-sea/
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/explaining-natos-article-4-estonia-seeks-consultations-russian-125840887
https://borgenproject.org/russian-minorities-in-estonia-and-latvia/
https://www.shrmonitor.org/alienating-russian-speakers-in-estonia-could-have-destabilizing-effects/
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/aug/22/always-looking-shoulder-anxiety-estonia-russians-tallinn
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/russia/article/2025/03/26/estonia-s-parliament-bans-local-voting-for-non-europeans-targeting-russians_6739540_140.html
https://www.cfr.org/cyber-operations/estonian-denial-service-incident
https://www.bbc.com/news/39655415
https://apnews.com/article/finland-estonia-china-vessel-baltic-sea-gas-pipeline-39334c9c565753c7e189c6efc302e43e
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/watch-out-for-little-green-men/
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26532154
https://medium.com/@DrRobertMuller/russias-use-of-little-green-men-in-the-conflict-in-ukraine-95ece34741ad
https://www.jhuapl.edu/sites/default/files/2022-12/ARIS_LittleGreenMen.pdf
https://www.dw.com/en/estonian-volunteers-prepare-for-potential-russian-attack/a-70436904
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/sep/27/estonia-city-mayoral-election-moscow-threat
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/czrp6p5mj3zo
https://www.dw.com/en/how-estonians-are-managing-the-threat-of-a-russian-invasion/a-73724598
https://www.dw.com/en/how-estonians-are-managing-the-threat-of-a-russian-invasion/a-73724598
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/russia-accuses-estonia-making-false-airspace-incursion-allegation-whip-up-2025-09-22/
https://www.gisreportsonline.com/r/estonia-preemptive-strikes-russia/
https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/focus/20250407-estonian-town-of-narva-prepares-for-potential-russian-invasion
https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-has-plans-test-natos-resolve-german-intelligence-chief-warns-2025-06-09/
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-nato-war-germany-2083213
https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-german-fm-says-no-nato-member-will-be-left-alone/live-74173397
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/russian-forays-nato-airspace-causing-alarm-happening-125954596
https://apnews.com/article/nato-russia-drones-estonia-ed72156951e6ef62f802d9f1f786c8b5
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/nato-condemns-russia-estonian-airspace-violation-vows-defend-itself-2025-09-23/ Receive SMS online on sms24.me
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