December 2026: Europe's Impossible Decision — Save France or Save the Euro?
Get your tickets for the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference, January 24–25, 2027: https://vricmedia.comOn October 21st, France crossed a line it had not crossed since 2002. The interest rate it pays to borrow for ten years passed 5%, higher than Italy and higher than Greece. The cameras are on the riots, the curfews and the burning cars. That is the wrong place to look. France owes less than America relative to the size of its economy. Lenders are charging it more anyway, just as it needs a record €340 billion next year. Most of its debt is held by foreigners who can sell and walk away. It borrows in a currency it cannot print, and only one bank in Frankfurt can create euros. Europe now has to choose between saving France and saving the euro. Either way, someone else pays the bill.
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Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-nobody-watching-france-sources
00:00 France just crossed a line
00:55 The number everyone watches
02:05 America, France and Japan's debt
02:46 Japan's hidden risk: the yen carry trade
03:26 The country fewer people are watching
04:17 Nobody protests like France
04:59 The revolution that began with a bill
05:41 How France ran out of room
07:37 Who will lend France €340 billion?
07:58 Question one: who do you owe?
09:15 Question two: in which currency?
10:40 VRIC 2027
11:16 Choice one: save France
12:18 Italy 2011: the secret letter
13:49 Who pays if Europe saves France
14:26 Choice two: let France fail
15:00 What Greece 2015 looked like
16:26 The weak spot built into the euro
16:59 How this will play out
17:58 What this means for you
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