Don’t Use Stock Market Seasonality Without Checking This

Stock market seasonality can look convincing at first glance, but the averages don’t always tell the full story. Tom Bowley shares what he looks for before using seasonality to support a trading setup.

The real value of seasonality comes from understanding what sits behind the headline numbers. Using real stock examples, Tom shows how he weighs seasonal history against price action, technical strength, and year-to-year consistency, including how one unusually strong year can distort the bigger picture. Tom presents a practical look at how seasonality can strengthen a setup and when the numbers deserve more scrutiny.

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00:00 How Tom Uses Stock Market Seasonality
01:10 August Seasonality: CVNA, NVDA & NTNX
02:38 Combining Seasonality With the Technical Setup
03:20 Using the StockCharts Seasonality Tool
05:22 September Setups: ULTA, FIVE & ALGN
12:09 When Seasonal Averages Can Mislead
15:51 What to Check Before Trusting Seasonality

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