What Is a Yield Curve? A Beginner’s Guide to Bond Yields
What is a yield curve, and why do bond yields matter to traders?In this video, we explain how to read a yield curve, what it tells us about the economy, and why investors pay close attention to changes in government bond yields.
A yield curve compares the yields of bonds with different maturities. But what does it mean when the curve slopes upwards, flattens, or inverts? And why does the 2-year vs 10-year Treasury yield spread, often called the "2s10s spread", attract so much attention when recession risks are being discussed?
We break down the difference between a normal yield curve and an inverted yield curve, explore how bond yields reflect expectations for inflation, economic growth and central bank interest rates, and explain why a yield curve inversion has historically been associated with recessions.
You'll also learn how bond yields can provide useful context for forex traders watching currency pairs such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY, and why the yield curve should not be treated as a standalone trading signal.
Whether you're new to bond markets or looking to understand the relationship between interest rates, the economy and forex, this guide will help you make more sense of the signals traders watch.
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