五道口共识：为什么消费补贴救不了中国经济？『剖析中国经济 Pt. 2』
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#诺贝尔经济学奖 #中国GDP #中国经济
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X账号：https://x.com/xiatian1108527
本集数字
2026年9月19日：清华五道口首席经济学家论坛
大连补贴撬动比1:8（1元补贴拉动8元消费）；去年全国消费补贴约7000亿元
央行政策利率：2019年2.5%→2025年5月降到1.4%
新发放房贷利率5.6%→3.1%；企业新贷款利率不足3%
10年期国债收益率约1.7%；美国10年期国债收益率破5%
2026年3月PPI由负转正，8月同比+3.8%；9月社零+1.1%左右；房地产投资降幅前三季度-20.6%
地方政府债务余额：2026年3月末，中央政府国债 约42.35万亿，5月约58.2万亿元（专项债首破40万亿）；7月底59.24万亿（一般17.85万亿/专项41.39万亿）。
2014年国务院确立"中央对地方债实行不救助原则" Receive SMS online on sms24.me
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YouTube is a free video sharing website that makes it easy to watch online videos. You can even create and upload your own videos to share with others. Originally created in 2005, YouTube is now one of the most popular sites on the Web, with visitors watching around 6 billion hours of video every month.
