Is History Repeating Itself? These Signals Are Concerning
Major indices remain near record levels as key market relationships begin to resemble conditions that can come before market tops. Tom Bowley breaks down the signals Wall Street is sending beneath the surface and explains why this familiar setup deserves close attention.Tom Bowley, Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats.com, recaps last week’s stock market action, with major indices continuing to hover near all-time highs and internal market signals growing increasingly concerning. He explains how under-performance in growth stocks versus value, and consumer discretionary stocks versus staples, closely mirrors intermarket behavior seen ahead of previous market tops — including early 2025. Tom walks through the key relationships and sustainability ratios that historically weakened before meaningful market pullbacks, highlighting why this type of divergence is not typical during healthy advances. While price action at the index level remains resilient, Tom outlines why history suggests caution and shares the types of trades he believes make sense in this environment.
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00:00 - Welcome
01:57 - Major Indices
02:58 - S&P Sectors Upside Down
THIS ROTATION WORRIES ME
04:53 - S&P 500 ($SPX), XLY to XLP
06:50 - Money Rotating to Value
07:57 - Discretionary Falls vs. Staples
08:22 - Growth Rotating to Value
INTERMARKET RELATIONSHIPS
09:19 - Tracking Intraday Values
WHAT TO DO?
13:32 - Leading Stocks in Leading Groups
15:42 - Momentum ChartList
CLOSING THOUGHTS
16:40 - Historical Stats: Oct.27-Jan.18 Period
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Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither the Show Participants
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Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value.
Investments or strategies mentioned in this show may not be suitable for you and
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You should strongly consider seeking advice from your own investment advisor
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