O BRASIL VAI EMPURRAR A CRISE FISCAL COM A BARRIGA? A VISÃO DE WALTER MACIEL

O Brasil vai conseguir escapar de uma crise fiscal sem promover um ajuste mais profundo nas contas públicas? Para Walter Maciel, CEO da AZ Quest, o presidente Lula não deve repetir os erros econômicos do governo Dilma, mas o cenário à frente ainda inspira preocupação.

Em conversa no Stock Pickers, Maciel avalia que o governo deve adotar uma estratégia de muddle through, o famoso “empurrar com a barriga”: preservar as promessas de campanha, recorrer a novos aumentos de impostos e fazer ajustes fiscais pontuais para administrar os desequilíbrios das contas públicas.

O gestor também comenta os riscos de uma eventual dominância fiscal, o crescimento da dívida pública, o peso dos juros elevados sobre famílias e empresas e os limites da estratégia do governo. Afinal, até quando será possível adiar um ajuste mais consistente?

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