Which races will give us early clues on election night?

With President Trump's approval ratings falling, voters increasingly concerned about affordability and Democrats leading in the polls, history suggests a difficult midterm for Republicans.

CNN's Manu Raju and Jake Tapper discuss which races could be early signs that a blue wave is underway on Tuesday night . Also, CNN's Michael Smerconish reviews historical indicators that could point to a strong night for Democrats and former Clinton adviser Doug Sosnik says changes in the political landscape may complicate the expected blue wave.

0:00 Which key House races finish first on Tuesday?
2:06 A Montana race could point to a blue wave
3:50 Do Democrats have a chance in South Carolina?
6:05 Why Republican strategist has her eye on Ohio
8:42 Will electoral history repeat itself on Tuesday night?
14:24 The structural change in politics that may hold Democrats back

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