FII का Big Exit! ₹35,000 Cr बेचकर भागे | Rs-Dollar 96+, Nifty का आगे क्या ? RBI Policy #bulltrack
FIIs have sold more than ₹34,000 crore of Indian equities in just 5 sessions, and the selling has hit almost every sector. Crude oil and US bond yields affect every market in the world, so why is India falling while Japan, Korea and the US are rallying? In this video we break down the real reason behind the FII exodus: the link between FII selling and a weakening rupee, which is now close to its record low against the US dollar.We cover the Nifty's 8-week losing streak (its longest since 2001) and why crude above $100 hurts India more than other markets. We look at US 10-year yields near multi-decade highs and India's expensive valuations, and at the RBI's dilemma ahead of the October 7 policy. We also ask whether DIIs can still absorb heavy FII selling, which sectors are bleeding, the latest from the US–Iran talks, global triggers to watch, and a complete technical view of the Nifty, including Elliott Wave structure, key support and resistance, India VIX, PCR and FII futures positioning.
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📌 Key data points
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FII net selling (Sep 21–30): ₹36,972 Cr; ₹10,148 Cr on Sep 30 alone
USD/INR: 95.60 → 96.39 in under two weeks
Nifty: -2.78% this week; Consumer Durables -5.25%, Auto -5.03%
US 10-year yield: ~5.28%
RBI MPC decision: October 7, 2026
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⏱️ TIMESTAMPS
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00:00 – FII selling crosses ₹34,000 Cr in 5 sessions
00:47 – Market recap: Nifty's 8-week losing streak
01:39 – Reason #1: Crude oil & India's import bill
02:49 – Reason #2: US bond yields & expensive valuations
03:34 – Reason #3: Rupee weakness (-6.5% YTD)
04:27 – RBI rate hike dilemma: two scenarios
05:42 – FII selling vs USD/INR: the correlation chart
08:07 – Can DIIs still save the market?
08:51 – Sector performance: only IT in the green
10:14 – Iran update: talks stall, crude on edge
11:24 – BT Signature Portfolio
13:05 – Global triggers: US yields, Fed, Nikkei, Micron
14:12 – Key events ahead: US jobs data & RBI policy (Oct 7)
15:40 – Today's market: India VIX, PCR & F&O data
18:56 – Nifty weekly chart: Elliott Wave & Fibonacci levels
21:48 – Trading strategy & key levels
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. This video is for educational and informational purposes only and does NOT constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation. All data is from publicly available, named sources and has been independently verified.
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