The Bitcoin Bear Market is Over - Here's What Comes Next
Bitcoin is up 14% over the last three weeks, and the cries of disbelief echo previous bear market bottoms. But is the bottom really in, or is this a relief rally designed to catch bulls offside? In this video, we break down the on-chain data behind the third major catalyst of this bear market: selling from whales and long-term holders. Using Bitcoin on-chain analysis, we examine whale transfer volume to exchanges, long-term holder supply, HODL waves, coin days destroyed, short-term holder capitulation, and transfer volume in profit vs. loss — a historically reliable signal that has only appeared at the 2015, 2018, and 2022 bear market bottoms and is flashing again in 2026. With Bitcoin rallying past $66,000 after a 50% drawdown from its all-time high, the data suggests seller exhaustion is setting in and the conditions for the next Bitcoin bull market are forming. Whether the $60K double bottom holds or Bitcoin has one more leg lower, you'll know exactly which metrics to watch over the next four weeks. This is not financial advice; all content is for educational purposes only.The Bitcoin Way architects self-custody that matches the sophistication of your holdings. Real security, not convenience masquerading as safety: http://www.thebitcoinway.com/blockware?utm_medium=podcast&utm_source=partner-blockware
00:00 - Bitcoin is up 14% over the past 3 weeks
01:08 - Where Bitcoin lines up with past cycles
03:55 - Are the whales dumping coins?
06:06 - The biggest risk with Bitcoin
06:43 - 47% of Bitcoin hasn't moved in 2 years
10:28 - Record high transaction count on-chain
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