MSCI की चेतावनी: Indonesia जैसा Crash क्या Indian Market में होगा? #bulltrack
In 2025, Indonesia’s stock market rose 22% to an all-time high. In the same year, the MSCI Indonesia index fell 3%. One year later, on 16 October 2026, the Jakarta Composite crashed 11% in a single day, and MSCI proposed moving Indonesia from Emerging Market to Standalone status, the same category as Argentina, Nigeria and Russia.India’s weight in the MSCI Emerging Markets index has fallen from about 20% to 11% in two years, and FPI ownership of Indian equities is at a 17-year low. So is India on the same path?
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📌 This video goes beyond the usual crude-and-rupee explanation of FII selling. We break down:
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Free float: how low free float let Indonesia’s index hit records while foreign investors lost money
The collapse: how the MSCI freeze, the exchange chief’s resignation and central bank independence concerns broke trust in Indonesia
The MSCI 2026 report card: India scores “minus” on 7 of 18 accessibility criteria, against just 2 for Indonesia. India still passes on the one subject Indonesia failed: trust (information flow).
Who is selling, and who is buying: FIIs sold a record ₹3.15 lakh crore in the secondary market while still buying IPOs, and your SIP money is now setting Indian prices
The tax wall: why India’s capital gains tax on FPIs pushes money to Korea, Taiwan and Brazil
India’s warning signs: what the 2023 MSCI free-float review of Adani stocks and SEBI’s 2025 Jane Street order tell us about India’s trust pillar
Your portfolio: where valuation risk is building and why holding part of your portfolio outside the rupee works as insurance
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⏱️ TIMESTAMPS
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0:00 Two scoreboards: Jakarta +22% vs MSCI Indonesia −3%
1:03 FIIs are selling, but who is buying?
1:58 Free float explained: the housing society example
3:00 How Indonesia’s index got inflated
3:48 MSCI freeze and the collapse of trust
4:44 MSCI report card: Indonesia vs India
5:54 FII selling from a different angle
7:20 The capital gains tax wall for FIIs
7:52 Can India’s trust pillar break? Adani and Jane Street
8:58 Is India on Indonesia’s path?
10:17 What this means for your portfolio
11:13 Quick summary
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. This video is for educational and informational purposes only and does NOT constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation. All data is from publicly available, named sources and has been independently verified.
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