Everyone’s Bullish on 2026 - That’s the Problem!
The market ended 2025 on shaky footing despite a strong overall year, raising questions about what lies ahead. Tom Bowley explains why rising complacency, fading leadership, and a weak year-end pattern may matter more in 2026 than most investors realize.Tom Bowley, Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats.com, recaps the final week of 2025 as the market failed to deliver its typical Santa Claus rally, despite strong gains earlier in the year. He walks through why weakness during a historically bullish seasonal window can be an important warning sign, especially as sentiment indicators point to growing investor complacency. From there, Tom explains how technology lost momentum late in the year, why health care was the only sector to consistently lead, and how the market’s behavior between late October and mid-January has historically played a key role in shaping the following year. As expectations for 2026 remain elevated, Tom outlines why caution, not complacency, may be warranted.
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00:00 - Welcome
02:41 - Key Indices and Sectors
04:08 - 2025 YTD Indice Performance
07:49 - 2025 YTD Sector Performance
10:28 - S&P 500 ($SPX) Most Bullish Period?
13:31 - This Bother Me: $SPX - $CPCE
16:18 - MarketVision 2026
18:36 - 2025 YTD Winners and Losers
SINK OR SWIM IN 2026?
20:18 - TTD, FISV, DECK, LULU
21:32 - MSTR, CHTR, TEAM, ADBE
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