المُخبر الاقتصادي+ | لماذا لا تستطيع أمريكا خفض الفائدة لإنقاذ نفسها من دوامة
في هذه الحلقة من برنامج المخبر الاقتصادي +، يقدم د. أشرف إبراهيم تحليلاً شاملاً للمعضلة الاقتصادية والجيوسياسية المتصاعدة بين واشنطن وطهران، والتي تجسدت في التغريدة الساخرة لرئيس البرلمان الإيراني محمد باقر قاليباف حول "قاعدة تايلور للمضائق" قبيل قرار الفدرالي الأمريكي رفع أسعار الفائدة. تتناول الحلقة تفاصيل التصادم بين قرارات الفدرالي بقطع الطريق على التضخم برفع الفائدة، وهجوم الرئيس الأمريكي دونالد ترمب الشرس المطالب بتخفيضها، بالتوازي مع وعده المثير للجدل بتوزيع شيكات بقيمة 5 آلاف دولار على المواطنين قبيل الانتخابات النصفية. كما تفكك الحلقة "دوامة الدين" الأمريكي بعد تجاوز الدين الفدرالي حاجز الـ40 تريليون دولار ووصول عوائد سندات الخزانة لمستويات تاريخية، وتكشف كيف تنتقل شرارات حرب الطاقة واضطراب ممرات الشحن في مضيق هرمز وباب المندب لتضغط على الاقتصاد العالمي وتجبر بنوكاً مركزية كبرى -كالبنك المركزي الهندي- على استنزاف احتياطياتها للدفاع عن عملاتها.شاهدوا الحلقة لتعرفوا القصة كاملة، وشاركونا آراءكم وإجاباتكم على سؤال الحلقة في التعليقات، ولا تنسوا الاشتراك في القناة.
#مصادر_المُخبر:
https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/shall-we-repeal-the-laws-of-economics---part-iii
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62105
https://privatebank.jpmorgan.com/nam/en/insights/markets-and-investing/deficits-debt-and-bond-yields-separating-headlines-from-signals
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62373
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62756
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62050
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62373
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/62756
https://www.crfb.org/press-releases/5-interest-rates-are-troubling-sign-road-ahead-0
https://www.cfr.org/articles/the-shifting-composition-of-treasury-buyers-threatens-to-worsen-the-u-s-debt-trajectory
https://www.reuters.com/legal/transactional/us-debt-mounts-investors-demand-higher-returns-lend-2026-08-18/
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/republicans-tie-midterm-hopes-trump-dallas-convention-despite-political-risks-2026-09-09/
https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/is-trumps-5000-dividend-legal-how-would-it-work-2026-09-10/
https://www.crfb.org/blogs/5000-dividends-would-cost-12-trillion
https://www.crfb.org/press-releases/election-dividends-would-explode-deficit-and-worsen-inflation
https://taxfoundation.org/blog/trump-dividend-5000-check-tariff-revenue/
https://financialservices.house.gov/calendar/eventsingle.aspx?EventID=411218
https://finance.yahoo.com/video/ways-bessent-touts-trumps-5-161606904.html
https://www.bis.org/publications/202607-commentary-ibs-gli
https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/global-debt-report-2026_e9d80efd-en.html
https://www.sifma.org/research/statistics/us-treasury-securities-statistics
https://www.finra.org/finra-data/browse-catalog/about-treasury/daily-data
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0607
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2315
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/TreasurySupplementalQ42024.pdf
https://www.reuters.com/world/us-treasury-buy-up-6-billion-sept-10-buyback-operation-2026-09-09/
https://www.reuters.com/legal/transactional/edgy-bond-investors-unconsoled-by-bessents-big-buyback-2026-09-10/
https://www.bis.org/publications/qr-202609/yields-climb-yet-risk-appetite-holds-firm
https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/treasury-securities-auctions-data/treasury-securities-auctions-data
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?field_tdr_date_value_month=202609&type=daily_treasury_yield_curve
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/dollar-near-two-week-high-oil-surge-lifts-yields-fed-hike-bets-2026-09-15/
https://www.reuters.com/business/bund-yields-close-17-year-highs-mixed-energy-prices-fed-focus-2026-09-16/
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_09112026.htm
https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2026/producer-price-index-up-5-4-percent-for-the-12-months-ended-august-2026.htm
https://x.com/mb_ghalibaf/status/2100239566108279118
https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/fed-meeting-today-warsh-interest-rates-hike-live-updates/card/iranian-official-pokes-at-the-fed-you-can-t-25-bp-a-chokepoint--1ittb0RT858LwBCl59B2
https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20260916.pdf
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260916a.htm
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/warsh20260828a.htm
https://www.reuters.com/business/goolsbee-rejects-idea-fed-cutting-rates-help-us-finance-its-debt-2026-09-21/
https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/fed-meeting-warsh-interest-rate-09-16-2026/card/trump-interes-rates-should-be-1-or-less-tKn2BN5vp78UzVQG0ujS Receive SMS online on sms24.me
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