Reform’s Polling Decline Explained

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Nigel Farage's Reform UK has held a pretty significant lead in Westminster polls. But with two election losses, this lead appears to be shrinking. In this video, we're taking a look at Reform's polling over time and why it appears to be collapsing.

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SOURCES

Unheard Iran’s War is Turning Nigel Farage into a Neocon
https://unherd.com/newsroom/iran-war-is-turning-nigel-farage-into-a-neocon/?edition=us

The Week in Polls Three Risks for Reform Hiding in the Data
https://theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/three-risks-for-reform-hiding-in

IPSOS Mori Concern About Defence Doubles to Become as Big an Issue for Britain as the NHS and Inflation
https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/concern-about-defence-doubles-become-big-issue-britain-nhs-and-inflation

Wikipedia Opinion Polling for the Next Election
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#

YouGov Tactical Landscape February 2026
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/54117-what-is-the-tactical-voting-landscape-in-february-2026

YouGov Which Parties Do Britons See as Pro or Anti Trump?
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/54262-which-parties-do-britons-see-as-pro-or-anti-trump

Sam Freedman Why Have Reform’s Poll Numbers Declined?
https://samf.substack.com/p/why-have-reforms-poll-numbers-declined

YouGov The Most Important Issue Facing the Country
https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/the-most-important-issues-facing-the-country?period=5yrs Receive SMS online on sms24.me

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