Bitcoin 2026 Fireside: Kalshi w/ John Wang
What's the probability Satoshi's coins move before year-end? On Kalshi, the market is pricing it around 7% and that's just one of dozens of tail-risk bets traders are using to hedge Bitcoin exposure. John Wang, Head of Crypto at Kalshi, joins Conner Brown to break down how prediction markets are letting traders price quantum computing risk, regulatory events like the Clarity Act, and price thresholds like $100K all as discrete, tradable contracts. If you've ever wanted to hedge a specific Bitcoin thesis instead of just buying spot, this conversation is essential. Subscribe for more from Bitcoin Conference.Click here to get 10% off bitcoin 2026 Conference in Las Vegas: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput=YT10
🔶 John Wang - Head of Crypto, Kalshi
🔶 Conner Brown - Managing Director, Bitcoin Policy Institute
Chapters:
0:00 - Intro from Bitcoin Vegas
0:25 - John Wang's Path to Heading Crypto at Kalshi
1:25 - Inside Kalshi's Crypto Division — 90% Bitcoin
2:47 - Why Trade Bitcoin on Kalshi Instead of Spot
4:24 - Event Trading and Bitcoin Tail-Risk Markets
5:54 - Quantum Risk, Satoshi's Coins, and the 100K Question
7:08 - How Sports and Institutions Hedge on Kalshi
8:21 - Kalshi vs Polymarket: Two Philosophies
10:01 - Insider Trading and the Maduro Case
12:47 - Drawing the Line on Material Nonpublic Information
14:11 - The Next 5 Years of Prediction Markets
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DISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions. Receive SMS online on sms24.me
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