Israel ने सब बिगाड़ दिया 💥 China को मिली Secret Machine — New Trade War शुरू? #bulltrac
🚨 Two developing stories that could move markets next week: Iran-Israel tensions ESCALATE as ceasefire collapses in Lebanon (47 killed), and the US accuses ASML of leaking its $380M EUV chip machine to China — threatening a NEW trade war.📌 STORY 1 — IRAN-ISRAEL ESCALATION
The US-Iran MoU (Islamabad Memorandum) was signed, but the critical next phase — 60-day bilateral peace negotiations scheduled to start in Switzerland — has been cancelled at the last minute. VP JD Vance cancelled his trip entirely. Israel launched 12 air raids on southern Lebanon immediately after the ceasefire deadline expired on Friday at 4 PM, killing 47 and wounding 97. Israel's Defense Minister declared the IDF will remain in Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza "indefinitely" and stated "Israel is not subordinate to the United States." Iran has warned Israel to "expect a hard response from Iranian armed forces." If even one missile is fired, crude oil could spike back above $90, undoing all recent market gains.
📌 STORY 2 — ASML EUV CHIP MACHINE & NEW TRADE WAR
US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has accused ASML of allowing its most advanced EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography) chipmaking machine — the only machine in the world capable of manufacturing cutting-edge AI chips — to reach China. ASML has categorically denied this. A new bipartisan bill in US Congress aims to ban even DUV (Deep Ultraviolet) machine sales to China, which currently account for ~20% of ASML's revenue. If passed, China would be unable to manufacture ANY AI chips — potentially triggering retaliation through rare earth mineral export controls, sparking a second wave of trade war.
📌 MARKET ANALYSIS — FRIDAY SESSION DECODED
FII net buying of ₹4,859 Cr is misleading — FTSE quarterly rebalancing alone contributed ~₹5,670 Cr in passive flows, meaning FIIs were effectively net sellers . FII index futures show fresh shorts of ~4,947 contracts
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⏱️ TIMESTAMPS
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0:00 — Introduction: Two Big Developing Stories
0:16 — Story 1: Iran MoU & Peace Talks Cancelled
1:23 — Israel Attacks Lebanon After Ceasefire Deadline
2:01 — Israel's Defiant Response: "Not Subordinate to US"
2:52 — Why Netanyahu Doesn't Want Peace
3:02 — Iran's Retaliation Threat & Crude Oil Risk
5:02 — What to Watch Next Week (June 23-25 Washington Talks)
6:23 — Story 2: ASML Chip Machine Controversy
7:27 — Why AI Chips Matter for the US Economy
8:45 — What is ASML? The $380M Machine Explained
10:11 — EUV vs DUV: The Two Types of Chip Technology
11:35 — US Accuses ASML, ASML Denies — Who's Right?
12:16 — New US Bill to Ban ALL Chip Machine Sales to China
13:34 — China's Weapon: Rare Earth Minerals & Trade War Risk
15:07 — India Impact: Positive & Negative Scenarios
16:36 — Friday Market Analysis: Volume & FTSE Rebalancing
17:17 — FII Buying ₹4,859 Cr — The Real Story (FTSE Passive Flows)
17:51 — FII Futures Shorts & Options Data Breakdown
19:04 — Sector-Wide Selling: Not Just IT
20:01 — Near-Term Top Forming? Key Levels to Watch
21:10 — Summary & What to Watch Next Week
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. This video is for educational and informational purposes only and does NOT constitute investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation. All data is from publicly available, named sources and has been independently verified.
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