Germany’s strategic dilemma between the US and China: Who is the better partner? | To the Point
First China, then the United States — the German Chancellor is visiting the world’s two biggest power centers, aiming to secure maximum benefits for Germany’s economy and its geopolitical position.China remains the key market for Germany, with bilateral trade surpassing €250 billion in 2025. Yet Chancellor Merz faces a challenge: German products are losing ground, and he needs to boost their appeal in a highly competitive Chinese market.
Next stop: the United States, Germany’s second‑largest trading partner. But the long-standing transatlantic partnership has hit turbulence. President Trump’s tariff policies have strained relations, causing trade volumes to shrink by around 5 percent. So the big question is: Where should Germany place its bets? Is China the more promising partner — or do the US offer the stronger long‑term alliance? In this video, we explore Germany’s strategic dilemma between Washington and Beijing: Who is the better partner for the future?
Our guests: Thorsten Benner, Global Public Policy Institute (GPPi)
Noah Barkin, Rhodium Group
Meredith Crowley, Professor of Economics University of Cambridge
Chapters:
00:00 Germany Needs to Develop Its Own Strategy Toward China
04:00 China — Not Donald Trump — Is the Real Threat to Germany’s Industrial Base
05:40 How Can Europe Build a Tech Ecosystem Independent of the US and China?
09:00 Video: China Shock! Is Germany’s Business Model Coming to an End?
12:15 India Can’t Replace China — At Least Not Yet
14:20 The Problem with Chinese Subsidies
16:45 Europe needs to Decrease its Dependencies
18:50 State Intervention in a Capitalist World: A Model for Success?
21:20 Dropping Industries in Europe — and Focusing on a Few?
23:50 Learning from China: Invest in Europe’s Own Strengths
#ToThePoint #GermanyChina #GermanyUS
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